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Prediction theory for autoregressivemoving average processes

Authors: Peter Burridge a; Kenneth F. Wallis b
Affiliations:   a University of birmingham, Birmingham, UK
b University of warwick, Coventry, UK
DOI: 10.1080/07474938808800143
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Econometric Reviews, Volume 7, Issue 1 1988 , pages 65 - 95
Formats available: PDF (English)
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Abstract

This paper reviews statistical prediction theory for autoregressive-moving average processes wing techniques developed in control theory. It demonstrates explicitly the connectioluns between the statistical and control theory literatures. Both the forecasting problem and the Single extraction problem am considered, udng linear least squares methods. Whereas the classical Statistical theory developed by Wiener and Kolmogomv is restricted to stationary stochaotic processes, the recursive techniques known as the Kalman filter are shown to provide a satisfactory treatment of the difference-stationary care and other more general cases. Complete results for non-invertible moving averages are also obtained.
Keywords: Prediction Theory; Forecasting; Signal Extraction; Autoregressive-Moving Average Processes; Difference-Stationary Processes; Non-Inrsrtible Processes; Linear Leart Squares Methods; State-Space Methods; Wiener-Kolmogorov Theory; Kalman Filter
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