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Multiple time scales in volatility and leverage correlations: a stochastic volatility model

Authors: Josep Perelloacute a;  Jaume Masoliver a; Jean-Philippe Bouchaud bc
Affiliations:   a Department de Fiacutesica Fonamental, Universitat de Barcelona, E-08028 Barcelona, Spain
b Service the Physique de l'Eacutetat Condenseacute, Centre d'Eacutetudes de Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France
c Science and Finance-CFM, 75009 Paris, France
DOI: 10.1080/1350486042000196155
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Applied Mathematical Finance, Volume 11, Issue 1 March 2004 , pages 27 - 50
Formats available: PDF (English)
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Abstract

Financial time series exhibit two different type of non-linear correlations: (i) volatility autocorrelations that have a very long-range memory, on the order of years, and (ii) asymmetric return-volatility (or 'leverage') correlations that are much shorter ranged. Different stochastic volatility models have been proposed in the past to account for both these correlations. However, in these models, the decay of the correlations is exponential, with a single time scale for both the volatility and the leverage correlations, at variance with observations. This paper extends the linear Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility model by assuming that the mean reverting level is itself random. It is found that the resulting three-dimensional diffusion process can account for different correlation time scales. It is shown that the results are in good agreement with a century of the Dow Jones index daily returns (1900-2000), with the exception of crash days.
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