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Provincial Conditional Income Convergence in China, 1953-1997: A Panel Data Approach

Authors: Melvyn Weeks a; James Yudong Yao a
Affiliation:   a Faculty of Economics and Politics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
DOI: 10.1081/ETC-120017974
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Econometric Reviews, Volume 22, Issue 1 January 2003 , pages 59 - 77
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

This paper examines the tendency towards income convergence among China's main provinces during the two periods: the pre-reform period 1953-1977 and the reform period 1978-1997 using the framework of the Solow growth model. The panel data method accounts for not only province-specific initial technology level but also the heterogeneity of the technological progress rate between the fast-growing coastal and interior provinces. Estimation problems of weak instruments and endogeneity are addressed by the use of a system generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator. The main empirical finding is that there is a system-wide income divergence during the reform period because the coastal provinces do not share a common technology progress rate with the interior provinces.
Keywords: Provincial convergence; China; Panel data; GMM estimators; JEL Classification: O40; O41; O53; C14; H4
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