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The J-Curve: Evidence from Fiji 

Authors: Paresh Kumar Narayan a; Seema Narayan a
Affiliation:   a Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics, Griffith University, Australia
DOI: 10.1080/0269217042000227088
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal International Review of Applied Economics, Volume 18, Issue 3 July 2004 , pages 369 - 380
Number of References: 30
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

This article provides new evidence on both long run and short-run determinants of trade balance for Fiji and investigates evidence of J-curve adjustment behaviour in the aftermath of a devaluation. We adopt a partial reduced form model that models the real trade balance directly as a function of the real exchange rate and real domestic and foreign incomes. Cointegration analysis is based on a recently developed autoregressive distributed lag approach—shown to provide robust results in finite samples. The long run elasticities are also estimated using a dynamic ordinary least squares approach and the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FM-OLS) approach. Amongst our key results we find that there is a long-run relationship between trade balance and its determinants. There is evidence of the J-curve pattern; growth in domestic income affects Fiji's trade balance adversely while foreign income improves it.
Keywords: Fiji; trade balance; cointegration; J-curve
view references (30) : view citations
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