The J-Curve: Evidence from Fiji
Authors:
Paresh Kumar Narayan a;
Seema Narayan a
| Affiliation: | a Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics, Griffith University, Australia |
DOI:
10.1080/0269217042000227088
Publication Frequency:
6 issues per year
Published in:
International Review of Applied Economics,
Volume
18,
Issue
3
July
2004
, pages 369
- 380
Subject:
International Economics;
Number of References: 30
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Abstract
This article provides new evidence on both long run and short-run determinants of trade balance for Fiji and investigates evidence of J-curve adjustment behaviour in the aftermath of a devaluation. We adopt a partial reduced form model that models the real trade balance directly as a function of the real exchange rate and real domestic and foreign incomes. Cointegration analysis is based on a recently developed autoregressive distributed lag approach—shown to provide robust results in finite samples. The long run elasticities are also estimated using a dynamic ordinary least squares approach and the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FM-OLS) approach. Amongst our key results we find that there is a long-run relationship between trade balance and its determinants. There is evidence of the J-curve pattern; growth in domestic income affects Fiji's trade balance adversely while foreign income improves it.
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| Keywords: Fiji; trade balance; cointegration; J-curve |
| view references (30) : view citations |

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