On Functional Central Limit Theorems for Semi-Markov and Related Processes
Authors:
Peter W. Glynn a;
Peter J. Haas bc
| Affiliations: | a Department of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA |
| b IBM Almaden Research Center, San Jose, California, USA | |
| c IBM Almaden Research Center, San Jose, CA, USA |
DOI:
10.1081/STA-120028680
Publication Frequency:
20 issues per year
Published in:
Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods,
Volume
33,
Issue
3
January
2004
, pages 487
- 506
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Abstract
The semi-Markov process (SMP) has long been used as a model for the underlying process of a discrete-event stochastic system. Important refinements of this model include the continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) and important extensions include the generalized semi-Markov process (GSMP). Functional central limit theorems (FCLTS) give basic conditions under which these various processes exhibit stable long-run behavior, as well as providing approximations for cumulative-reward distributions and confidence intervals for statistical estimators. We give FCLTS for finite-state CTMCS, SMPS, and GSMPS under minimal conditions that involve irreducibility and finite second moments on the “holding time” distributions. We consider both continuous and lump-sum rewards; our emphasis is on the use of martingale theory and on the explicit computation, when possible, of the variance constant in the FCLT.
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| Keywords: Semi-Markov processes; Markov chains; Central limit theorem; Martingales; Discrete-event systems |
| view references (31) : view citations |

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