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Victim of Success: American Dominance and Terrorism 

Authors: David Sobek a; Alex Braithwaite b
Affiliations:   a Department of Political Science, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA
b Department of Political Science, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA
DOI: 10.1080/07388940590948565
Publication Frequency: 4 issues per year
Published in: journal Conflict Management and Peace Science, Volume 22, Issue 2 July 2005 , pages 135 - 148
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)

The circumstances under which this title is published have changed:

Reason for change: Change of Publisher
Now published by: SAGE Publications
Date of change: 2009



Abstract

While terrorist attacks against American interests represent an important topic, few studies use international relations theory and a rigorous statistical methodology to examine their occurrence. In recognition of these shortcomings, this paper hypothesizes and tests a simple yet powerful relationship: as American dominance of the international system increases, the number of attacks against its interests will also rise. This relationship exists because American dominance leaves little room for revisionist actors to alter the status quo through conventional means, which makes terrorist methods an increasingly likely choice. Using ARIMA modeling techniques on a data set that spans from 1968-1996, we gain confirmation that increasing levels of American dominance are positively correlated with large numbers of attacks against American interests.
Keywords: terrorism; ARIMA; American dominance; JEL Codes C32, N42
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