The Tail Probability of Discounted Sums of Pareto-like Losses in Insurance
Authors:
Marc J. Goovaerts ab;
Rob Kaas a;
Roger J. A. Laeven a;
Qihe Tang ac;
Raluca Vernic ad
| Affiliations: | a Department of Quantitative Economics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands |
| b Center for Risk and Insurance Studies, Catholic University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium | |
| c Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Concordia University, Quebec, Montreal, Canada | |
| d Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science, Ovidius University of Constanta, Constanta, Romania |
DOI:
10.1080/03461230500361943
Publication Frequency:
4 issues per year
Subject:
Insurance;
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Abstract
In an insurance context, the discounted sum of losses within a finite or infinite time period can be described as a randomly weighted sum of a sequence of independent random variables. These independent random variables represent the amounts of losses in successive development years, while the weights represent the stochastic discount factors. In this paper, we investigate the problem of approximating the tail probability of this weighted sum in the case when the losses have Pareto-like distributions and the discount factors are mutually dependent. We also give some simulation results.
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| Keywords: Asymptotics; (Log)elliptical distribution; (Log)normal variance-mean mixed distribution; Pareto-like distribution; Tail probability |
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