Land use decisions in developing countries and their representation in multi-agent systems
Authors:
Pepijn Schreinemachers a;
Thomas Berger a
| Affiliation: | a University of Hohenheim (490 e), Stuttgart, Germany |
DOI:
10.1080/17474230600605202
Publication Frequency:
4 issues per year
Subjects:
Applied & Economic Geology;
Geographic Information Systems;
Plant & Animal Ecology;
Transport Geography;
Formats available:
HTML
(English)
:
PDF
(English)
You have:
FREE ACCESS
View Article:
View Article (PDF)
View Article (HTML)
Abstract
Recent research on land use and land cover change (LUCC) has put more emphasis on the importance of understanding the decision-making of human actors, especially in developing countries. The quest is now for a new generation of LUCC models with a decision-making component. This paper deals with the question of how to realistically represent decision-making in land use models. Two main agent decision architectures are compared. Heuristic agents take sequential decisions following a pre-defined decision tree, while optimizing agents take simultaneous decisions by solving a mathematical programming model. Optimizing behaviour is often discarded as being unrealistic. Yet the paper shows that optimizing agents do have important advantages for empirical land use modelling and that multi-agent systems (MAS) offer an ideal framework for using the strengths of both agent decision architectures. The use of optimization models is advanced with a novel three-stage decision model of investment, production, and consumption to represent uncertainty in models of land use decision-making.
|
| Keywords: LUCC; Agent behaviour; Mathematical programming; Heuristics |
| view references (37) : view citations |

Download Citation
CiteULike
Del.icio.us
BibSonomy
Connotea