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Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Using Fuzzy Logic System Methods 

Authors: Yunlong Zhang a; Zhirui Ye b
Affiliations:   a Zachry Department of Civil Engineering, Texas A & M University, College Station, Texas, USA
b Western Transportation Institute, Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana, USA
DOI: 10.1080/15472450802262281
Publication Frequency: 4 issues per year
Published in: journal Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems, Volume 12, Issue 3 July 2008 , pages 102 - 112
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
You have: FREE ACCESS FREE ACCESS
Previously published as: ITS Journal - Intelligent Transportation Systems Journal (1024-8072) until 2004
Previously published as: I V H S Journal (1065-5123) until 1995
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Abstract

A variety of short-term traffic flow forecasting methods have been developed in the last two decades. However, due to the complexity of traffic conditions and the drawbacks existing in those methods, predictions of traffic flow generally lack accuracy and robustness. In response to these problems, a fuzzy logic system methodology is proposed in this study. The fuzzy logic system methods are used to forecast traffic flow and compare with existing methods, using dual-loop data collected from I-35 in San Antonio, Texas. Forecasting results show that the fuzzy logic system produces more accurate and stable predictions. It is also more robust as it is able to forecast flow under various traffic and detector operation conditions.
Keywords: Traffic Flow; Forecasting; Fuzzy Logic System
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