ebooks logo journals logo reference works logo abstract databases logo
bullet  SIGN IN Register | Why Register? | Got a Voucher? alerts   marked lists   shopping cart 

informaworld

HOME   |   SEARCH   |   BROWSE
    Issues List       Latest Issue       Volume 12 Issue 3       Subscribe       Article       References       Cited By       Related articles      
<< firstfirst   < prevprev   Table of contentstoc   next >next   last >>last
Publisher Logo Publication Cover
Search within this journal

Trajectory Reconstruction for Travel Time Estimation 

Authors: Daiheng Ni a; Haizhong Wang a
Affiliation:   a Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, USA
DOI: 10.1080/15472450802262307
Publication Frequency: 4 issues per year
Published in: journal Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems, Volume 12, Issue 3 July 2008 , pages 113 - 125
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
Previously published as: ITS Journal - Intelligent Transportation Systems Journal (1024-8072) until 2004
Previously published as: I V H S Journal (1065-5123) until 1995
Article Requests: Order Reprints : Request Permissions


Abstract

In this article, we propose a Trajectory Reconstruction Model as an improvement to existing speed-based travel time estimation models. The proposed model utilizes point-based speed data collected by existing Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). Using the smoothing scheme proposed, it is possible to construct a speed surface as a function of space and time. Then, one can reconstruct the trajectory of an imaginary vehicle by allowing it to adopt the local speed determined by the speed surface wherever the vehicle travels. Therefore, the travel time of this vehicle can be readily determined from its trajectory. This article develops an analytical formulation of the model. Meanwhile, a discrete version of the formulation is also provided as a computational algorithm to facilitate real world implementation. In comparison with existing models, the proposed model accounts for continuous speed variation in both time and space. This ensures that the model preserves vehicle trajectories and provides sound estimates of travel time. Empirical studies were conducted based on comparison of the reconstructed travel time (estimated by the proposed model) against the Ground Truth travel time and the Instantaneous and Linear Model travel time. The empirical results showed that (1) the reconstructed travel time agrees well with the Ground Truth travel time; (2) the reconstructed travel time is more smooth than the Ground Truth, Instantaneous, and Linear Model travel times; (3) the Instantaneous and Linear Model travel time does not exhibit much difference from the other two when traffic condition is good (e.g., low travel time for the same stretch of road); (4) the difference is noticeable when traffic condition deteriorates; and (5) the difference reaches its peak under severe congestion. Quantitatively, the reconstructed travel time is not statistically different from the Ground Truth travel time and the corresponding mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is 6.3%. In contrast, the Linear and Instantaneous travel time is statistically different from the Ground Truth travel time and the corresponding MAPE is 11.7% and 14.0%, respectively.
Keywords: Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS); Travel Time Estimation; Trajectory Reconstruction
view references (23) : view citations
Bookmark with:
  • CiteULike
  • Del.icio.us
  • BibSonomy
  • Connotea
  • More bookmarks
Privacy Policy | Terms & Conditions | Accessibility | RSS
FAQs in: English . Français . Español . 中文(简体和繁體)
© 2009 Informa plc