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Sensitivity Analysis of Asset Flow Differential Equations and Volatility Comparison of Two Related Variables 

Author: Ahmet Duran a
Affiliation:   a Department of Mathematics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
DOI: 10.1080/01630560802678598
Publication Frequency: 12 issues per year
Published in: journal Numerical Functional Analysis and Optimization, Volume 30, Issue 1 & 2 January 2009 , pages 82 - 97
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

In this study, I apply forward sensitivity analysis to the dynamical system of nonlinear asset flow differential equations (AFDEs). I find that all parameters in AFDEs are needed and can be estimated from market prices and net asset values data. Moreover, the market price is the most fluctuating state variable, and the coefficient for the trend-based investor' sentiment is the dominant parameter. Furthermore, I define and compare the extreme value-based volatilities of market price and net asset value for closed-end funds. I find that the extreme value-based volatility of market price is higher than that of net asset value for the vast majority of closed-end funds for both overlapping and non-overlapping cases.
Keywords: Extreme value-based volatility; Market dynamics; Mathematical finance and economics; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Numerical solution of differential equations; Parametric sensitivity analysis; Quantitative finance
AMS Subject Classification: 65L05; 65L07; 65P40; 65L09; 90C31; 91B10; 91B24; 91B28; 37N40
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