A Novel Estimation Approach for Mixture Transition Distribution Model in High-Order Markov Chains
Authors:
D. G. Chen ab;
Y. L. Lio c
| Affiliations: | a Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Agricultural Experiment Station, South Dakota State University, Brookings, South Dakota, USA |
| b Department of Surgery, Sanford School of Medicine, University of South Dakota, Sioux Falls, South Dakota, USA | |
| c Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of South Dakota, Vermillion, South Dakota, USA |
DOI:
10.1080/03610910802715009
Publication Frequency:
10 issues per year
Published in:
Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation,
Volume
38,
Issue
5
May
2009
, pages 990
- 1003
Subjects:
Information Theory;
Probability Theory & Applications;
Statistical Computing;
Statistical Theory & Methods;
Statistics & Computing;
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Abstract
A transformation is proposed to convert the nonlinear constraints of the parameters in the mixture transition distribution (MTD) model into box-constraints. The proposed transformation removes the difficulties associated with the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) process in the MTD modeling so that the MLEs of the parameters can be easily obtained via a hybrid algorithm from the evolutionary algorithms and/or quasi-Newton algorithms for global optimization. Simulation studies are conducted to demonstrate MTD modeling by the proposed novel approach through a global search algorithm in R environment. Finally, the proposed approach is used for the MTD modelings of three real data sets.
|
| Keywords: Genetic algorithms; High-order temporal dependence; Markov chains; Maximum likelihood estimation; Mixture transition distribution |
| Mathematics Subject Classification: 65C40; 62M05 |
| view references (14) |

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