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China's Democratised Foreign Policy 

Author: Denny Roy - Denny Roy is a Senior Fellow at the East-West Center, Honolulu.
DOI: 10.1080/00396330902860769
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Survival, Volume 51, Issue 2 April 2009 , pages 25 - 40
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

China's rise entails a potentially threatening increase in its political and military power. Adherents of 'democratic peace theory', however, see cause for optimism: the economic development accompanying China's ascendance might have a pacifying effect on Chinese foreign relations. Unfortunately, in China's case this hope is probably unfounded. Some of China's most prickly foreign policies, including its unwillingness to accept postwar Japan as a 'normal' nation and its insistence that Taiwan must eventually unify with China regardless of the wishes of Taiwan's inhabitants, are already 'democratic' in the sense that most of China's people endorse them. Chinese public opinion has become a powerful influence on foreign-policymaking, and one that sometimes pushes Beijing toward conflict even when China's leaders would prefer conciliation. Democratisation in China would not immediately remove the sources of tension between the Chinese and the other Asia-Pacific democracies, and China's neighbours must understand that on some issues the Chinese government must meet compelling domestic expectations.
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