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A New Era of Food Insecurity? 

Authors: Alan Dupont - Alan Dupont is Michael Hintze Professor of International Security and Director of the Centre for International Security Studies at the University of Sydney.; Mark Thirlwell - Mark Thirlwell is Program Director, International Economy, at the Lowy Institute for International Policy in Sydney.
DOI: 10.1080/00396330903011511
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Survival, Volume 51, Issue 3 June 2009 , pages 71 - 98
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

With the world in the midst of the most serious economic downturn since the Great Depression and soft commodity prices depressed, it is easy to forget that barely a year ago sky-rocketing food prices were generating serious political and social strife in more than 30 countries around the world. Were these dramatic increases in price merely a cyclical aberration or do they foreshadow a structural shift in supply and demand that will prove the pessimists right? The price of food is a matter of profound importance for the economic well-being of billions of people and the political stability of the most affected states. Unfortunately, policies aimed at improving short-term food-security issues can end up damaging food security in the long term. Export restrictions or price controls help lower prices for consumers today at the cost of discouraging production and investment tomorrow. All this indicates that we have entered a period of increased uncertainty regarding the future trajectory of food prices, which is likely to have major consequences for future food security and the world economy.
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