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Money supply behaviour in emerging economies: a comparative analysis 

Authors: Zatul E. Badarudin a;  Ahmed M. Khalid b; Mohamed Ariff b
Affiliations:   a Corporate File, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
b School of Business, Bond University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia
DOI: 10.1080/13547860903169324
Publication Frequency: 4 issues per year
Published in: journal Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Volume 14, Issue 4 November 2009 , pages 331 - 350
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

This paper reports new evidence consistent with the post-Keynesian hypothesis of money endogeneity for hitherto unexplored 10 emerging economies. These results were obtained using a vector error correction model to test for long-run and short-run causalities with data from 1996 to 2007. The evidence suggests that money supply is endogenous in five countries, namely China, the Czech Republic, India, Malaysia and Turkey; it is exogenous in Mexico, while there was no causality found in Indonesia, Russia and Taiwan. Thailand showed endogeneity in the long-run causality. Some suggestions are made to explain the mixed results, and we also discuss the limitations arising from our narrow specifications of the money supply and the models.
Keywords: post-Keynesian; endogenous money supply; vector error correction model
JEL classifications: E12; E51
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