Escalation and de-escalation in asymmetric conflict *
Author:
Dean G. Pruitt a
| Affiliation: | a Institute for Conflict Analysis and Resolution, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA |
DOI:
10.1080/17467580903214501
Publication Frequency:
3 issues per year
Subjects:
Crime Control - Criminology;
Crime and Society;
Criminological Psychology;
Cross Cultural Psychology;
Cultural Criminology;
Cultural Studies;
Forms of Crime;
Intergroup Behavior;
Policing;
Political & Economic Anthropology;
Political Ideologies;
Political Psychology;
Political Sociology;
Race - Crime and Society;
Religion & Anthropology;
Social & Cultural Anthropology;
Social & Political Theory;
Social Constructionism;
Social Inequality;
Social Psychology;
Terrorism;
Theories of Crime;
War & Conflict Studies;
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Abstract
The life cycle of intractable conflict often involves three stages: dispirited quiescence, escalation to a state of intractability, and de-escalation accompanied by negotiation. These stages are produced by three types of perceived power distributions between the advantaged and the disadvantaged groups: highly unequal power, moderately unequal power, and equal (symmetrical) power. Once equality is reached, movement toward de-escalation and negotiation is often hesitant and gradual. It starts with signaling and/or informal communication and - if these produce optimism about reaching a mutually acceptable agreement - may move to back-channel talks. Even more optimism is required for full-scale negotiation to be entered. These theoretical points are supported by two case studies, involving conflicts in Northern Ireland and Israel/Palestine.
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†Based on a talk given to the Festschrift Workshop in honor of Christopher Mitchell on “The challenge of conflict resolution in highly asymmetric conflicts,” Institute for Conflict Analysis and Resolution, George Mason University, 28 October 2005.
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| Keywords: escalation; de-escalation; intractable conflict; power distribution; Northern Ireland; Israel; Palestine; terrorism |
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