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A note on arbitrage-free pricing of forward contracts in energy markets 

Authors: Fred Espen Benth a;  Lars Ekeland b;  Ragnar Hauge c; BjoslashRn Fredrik Nielsen d
Affiliations:   a Centre of Mathematics for Applications, Department of Mathematics, University of Oslo, Blindern, N-0316 Oslo, Norway
b Norsk Hydro ASA, N-0240 Oslo, Norway
c Norwegian Computing Centre, Blindern, N-0314 Oslo, Norway
d Simula Research Laboratory, N-1325 Lysaker, Norway
DOI: 10.1080/1350486032000160777
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Applied Mathematical Finance, Volume 10, Issue 4 December 2003 , pages 325 - 336
Formats available: PDF (English)
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Abstract

Arbitrage theory is used to price forward (futures) contracts in energy markets, where the underlying assets are non-tradeable. The method is based on the so-called 'fitting of the yield curve' technique from interest rate theory. The spot price dynamics of Schwartz is generalized to multidimensional correlated stochastic processes with Wiener and Leacutevy noise. Findings are illustrated with examples from oil and electricity markets.
Keywords: incomplete markets; forward pricing; energy markets; no-arbitrage pricing; Leacutevy processes
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