Pelican at Risk in Salton Sea - a Delay-Induced Eco-Epidemiological Model
Authors:
N. Bairagi; J. Chattopadhyay
DOI:
10.1076/mcmd.8.3.257.14101
Publication Frequency:
6 issues per year
Published in:
Mathematical and Computer Modelling of Dynamical Systems,
Volume
8,
Issue
3
September
2002
, pages 257
- 272
Subjects:
Analysis - Mathematics;
Applied Mechanics;
Dynamical Control Systems;
Dynamical Systems;
Mathematical Modeling;
Mathematics & Statistics for Engineers;
Simulation & Modeling;
Formats available:
PDF
(English)
You have:
FREE ACCESS
Previously published as:
Mathematical Modelling of Systems
(1381-2424)
until 1998
View Article:
View Article (PDF)
Abstract
Elevated salinity, accelerated eutrophication, blooms of Avian botulism and dramatic water quality fluctuation are supposed to be the key factors for massive die-off of Tilapia (prey) and Pelican (predator) in the Salton sea. We modify the model of Chattopadhyay and Bairagi [ Ecological Modelling 136 (2001), pp. 103-112] with an assumption that the growth rate of susceptible fish population is very high and study the dynamics of the system by introducing a delay factor in the predator response function. It is observed that the otherwise stable system exhibit a stable limit cycle solution when the lag factor attains its critical value. It is also observed that there is a high possibility of an epidemic out break in the fish as well as in the Pelican population if the predation process is delayed by a considerable amount of time. Numerical simulations for a hypothetical set of parameter values are presented to illustrate the analytical findings.
|
| view citations (1) |

Download Citation


CiteULike
Del.icio.us
BibSonomy
Connotea