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Effect of HIV/AIDS-related mortality on household dependency ratios in rural South Africa, 2000-2005 

Authors: Sangeetha Madhavan abc;  Enid Schatz bcd; Benjamin Clark e
Affiliations:   a University of Maryland,
b University of the Witwatersrand,
c University of Colorado at Boulder,
d University of Missouri,
e London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine,
DOI: 10.1080/00324720802592784
Publication Frequency: 3 issues per year
Published in: journal Population Studies, Volume 63, Issue 1 March 2009 , pages 37 - 51
Subject: Economic Geography;
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

With data from a surveillance system that uses verbal autopsies to identify cause of death in rural South Africa, we investigated whether mortality from HIV/AIDS differs from other causes of death in its effect on household dependency ratio, and to what extent the effect is mediated by the baseline dependency ratio. Findings: (i) the impact of death from HIV/AIDS on the dependency ratio in 2005 is marginally positive compared with other causes of death, but (ii) the impact is overpowered by the effect of death at working age, and (iii) the baseline dependency ratio mediates the effects on the 2005 ratio of cause of death and of the individual's sex and age at death. Migration into and out of the household—anticipating or responding to a death—seems to be a key source of change in the household dependency ratio.
Keywords: mortality; HIV/AIDS; dependency ratio; South Africa; household
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