Asymmetric Multivariate Stochastic Volatility
Authors:
Manabu Asai a;
Michael McAleer b
| Affiliations: | a Faculty of Economics, Soka University, Tokyo, Japan |
| b School of Economics and Commerce, University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia, Australia |
DOI:
10.1080/07474930600712913
Publication Frequency:
6 issues per year
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Abstract
This paper proposes and analyses two types of asymmetric multivariate stochastic volatility (SV) models, namely, (i) the SV with leverage (SV-L) model, which is based on the negative correlation between the innovations in the returns and volatility, and (ii) the SV with leverage and size effect (SV-LSE) model, which is based on the signs and magnitude of the returns. The paper derives the state space form for the logarithm of the squared returns, which follow the multivariate SV-L model, and develops estimation methods for the multivariate SV-L and SV-LSE models based on the Monte Carlo likelihood (MCL) approach. The empirical results show that the multivariate SV-LSE model fits the bivariate and trivariate returns of the S&P 500, the Nikkei 225, and the Hang Seng indexes with respect to AIC and BIC more accurately than does the multivariate SV-L model. Moreover, the empirical results suggest that the univariate models should be rejected in favor of their bivariate and trivariate counterparts.
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| Keywords: Asymmetric leverage; Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo; Dynamic leverage; Importance sampling; Multivariate stochastic volatility; Numerical likelihood; Size effect |
| JEL Classification: C15; C32 |
| view references (34) : view citations |

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