Bootstrap-based evaluation of markov-switching time series models
Author:
Zacharias Psaradakis a
| Affiliation: | a Department of Economics, Birkbeck College, University of London, |
DOI:
10.1080/07474939808800416
Publication Frequency:
6 issues per year
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Abstract
This paper explores the possibility of evaluating the adequacy of Markov-switching time series models by comparing selected functionals (such as the spectral density function and moving empirical moments) obtained from the data with those of the fitted model using a bootstrap algorithm. The proposed model checking procedure is easy to implement and flexible enough to be adapted to a wide variety of models with parameters subject to Markov regime-switching. Examples with real and artificial data illustrate the potential of the methodology.
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| Keywords: Markov Chain; Moving Estimates; Parametric Bootstrap; Regime Switching; Spectral Density Function; JEL Classification: C15: C22: C52 |
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