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Testing for dependence in the input to a linear time series model

Author: Melvin J. Hinich a
Affiliation:   a University of Texas, Austin
DOI: 10.1080/10485259608832672
Publication Frequency: 8 issues per year
Published in: journal Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Volume 6, Issue 2 & 3 1996 , pages 205 - 221
Formats available: PDF (English)
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Abstract

This paper presents a simple test for dependence in the residuals of a linear parametric time series model fitted to non gaussian data. The test statistic is a third order extension of the standard correlation test for whiteness. but the number of lags used in this test is a function of the sample size. The power of this test goes to one as the sample size goes to infinity for any alternative which has non zero bicovariances ce3(r,s)= E[e(t)e(t + r)e(t + s)] for a zero mean stationary random time series. The asymptotic properties of the test statistic are rigorously determined. This test is important for the validation of the sampling properties of the parameter estimates for standard finite parameter linear models when the unobserved input (innovations) process is white but not gaussian. The sizes and power derived from the asymptotic results are checked using artificial data for a number of sample sizes. Theoretical and simulation results presented in this paper support the proposition that the test will detect third order dependencies in the input.
Keywords: non Gaussian data; bicovariances; asymptotic properties; consistent test
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