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Modelling Fruit Characteristics During Apple Maturation: A Stochastic Approach

Authors: N. Scheerlinck;  A. Peirs;  M. Desmet;  A. Schenk; B. M. Nicolaiuml
DOI: 10.1080/13873950412331318116
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Mathematical and Computer Modelling of Dynamical Systems, Volume 10, Issue 2 June 2004 , pages 149 - 168
Number of References: 9
Formats available: PDF (English)
Previously published as: Mathematical Modelling of Systems (1381-2424) until 1998
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Abstract

At present, mathematical models to predict the change of fruit quality attributes during apple maturation are deterministic and do not take into account the large natural variability of fruit quality attributes during the growing season. In this work a stochastic system approach was developed to describe the quality evolution of fruit. The basic dynamics of fruit quality evolution was represented by means of a stochastic system, in which the initial conditions and the model parameters were specified as random variables together with their probability density functions. A fundamental approach from stochastic systems theory was used to compute the propagation of the probability density functions of fruit quality attributes, which requires the numerical solution of the Fokker-Planck equation.
Keywords: Variability; Fokker-Planck; apple maturation; stochastic modelling; uncertainty
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