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Cross-Validation for Linear Model with Unequal Variances in Genomic Analysis 

Authors: Li Li ab;  Shein-Chung Chow c; Woollcott Smith d
Affiliations:   a Clinical Discovery Department, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Princeton, New Jersey, USA
b Chemical Discovery Biostatistics, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Princeton, NJ
c Statistics Department, Temple University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
d Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
DOI: 10.1081/BIP-200025679
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics, Volume 14, Issue 3 December 2004 , pages 723 - 739
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

In recent years, genomic studies are usually conducted to identify genes that may have an impact on clinical outcomes. The identified genes are then used to establish a predictive model for identifying subjects who are most likely to respond to the test treatment in clinical trials. This information is useful in early and later phases of clinical development. The United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) requires that such a predictive model be validated before it can be used in clinical development. Shao [Shao, J. (1993). Linear model selection by cross-validation. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 88(422):486-494] proposed a cross-validation method for linear model with equal variances, which is found useful in genomic studies. In practice, however, genomic data may be obtained from different sources with unequal variances. As a result, Shao's method may not be applied directly. In this paper, we extend Shao's method for cross-validation of a linear model with unequal variances. Along this line, two re-sampling methods were proposed to account for the heterogeneity in variance. Several simulations were performed to evaluate the finite samples performances of the proposed methods. An example concerning a breast cancer research is present to illustrate the use of the proposed methods.
Keywords: Cross-validation; Microarray; Monte Carlo; Prediction
Mathematics Subject Classification: 62J99
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