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Cigarette demand in Canada and the US-Canadian cigarette smuggling 

Author: Rajeev K. Goel a
Affiliation:   a Department of Economics, Illinois State University, Normal, IL 61790-4200, USA
DOI: 10.1080/1350485042000263043
Publication Frequency: 18 issues per year
Published in: journal Applied Economics Letters, Volume 11, Issue 9 2004 , pages 537 - 540
Number of References: 12
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

Using annual data from Canadian provinces, this paper studies the effects of a drastic reduction in Canadian cigarette taxes in 1994 on cross-border smuggling. The results show that the policy was successful in that the border prices seem to not have had a statistically significant impact on cigarette sales. The own price elasticity of cigarette demand in Canada is estimated to be around -0.7. The elasticity is slightly lower when the border-price effects are taken into account and is larger than the corresponding estimates for the USA, implying that dollar-for-dollar there might be greater opportunities for reducing smoking in Canada through higher taxes than the USA.
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