Multiple time scales in volatility and leverage correlations: a stochastic volatility model
Authors:
Josep Perell
a;
Jaume Masoliver a;
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud bc
a;
Jaume Masoliver a;
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud bc
| Affiliations: | a Department de F sica Fonamental, Universitat de Barcelona, E-08028 Barcelona, Spain |
b Service the Physique de l' tat Condens , Centre d' tudes de Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex, France |
|
| c Science and Finance-CFM, 75009 Paris, France |
DOI:
10.1080/1350486042000196155
Publication Frequency:
6 issues per year
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Abstract
Financial time series exhibit two different type of non-linear correlations: (i) volatility autocorrelations that have a very long-range memory, on the order of years, and (ii) asymmetric return-volatility (or 'leverage') correlations that are much shorter ranged. Different stochastic volatility models have been proposed in the past to account for both these correlations. However, in these models, the decay of the correlations is exponential, with a single time scale for both the volatility and the leverage correlations, at variance with observations. This paper extends the linear Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility model by assuming that the mean reverting level is itself random. It is found that the resulting three-dimensional diffusion process can account for different correlation time scales. It is shown that the results are in good agreement with a century of the Dow Jones index daily returns (1900-2000), with the exception of crash days.
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sica Fonamental, Universitat de Barcelona, E-08028 Barcelona, Spain
tat Condens
, Centre d'
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