Chaos in an emerging capital market? The case of the Athens Stock Exchange
Authors:
John Barkoulas; Nickolaos Travlos
DOI:
10.1080/096031098332998
Publication Frequency:
21 issues per year
Subjects:
Economics;
Macroeconomics;
Number of References: 45
Formats available:
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(English)
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Abstract
This paper investigates the existence of a deterministic nonlinear structure in the stock returns of the Athens Stock Exchange (Greece), an emerging capital market. The analysis utilizes the concepts of correlation dimension and Kolmogorov entropy, and it also includes a forecasting experiment. Application of the BDS statistical test to raw and filtered returns series suggests the presence of nonlinearities. The findings provide very weak, at best, evidence in support of a nonlinear deterministic data generating process.
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