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Are estimated control charts in control? 

Authors: Willem Albers a; Wilbert C. M. Kallenberg a
Affiliation:   a Faculty of Mathematical Sciences, University of Twente, AE Enschede, The Netherlands
DOI: 10.1080/02669760310001619369
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Statistics, Volume 38, Issue 1 February 2004 , pages 67 - 79
Number of References: 9
Formats available: PDF (English)
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Abstract

Standard control chart practice typically assumes normality and uses estimated parameters using data from an in-control process. However, because of the extreme quantiles involved, large relative errors will result for common performance characteristics such as the out-of-control signal probability or the average run length. Due to the estimation, such performance characteristics are stochastic and hence the relative errors involved can be analyzed in various ways. To assess the effects of these various ways of estimation, we look at some exceedance probabilities. It is demonstrated how corrections can be derived to bring the estimated false alarm rates close to their nominal values. Exact results are given, followed by simple approximations. The latter reveal the way in which the corrections depend on the underlying parameters, thus allowing a sensible approach in practice. Some illustration is provided, as well as a brief analysis of the out-of-control behavior of the corrected charts.
Keywords: Statistical process control; Shewhart; Exceedance probability; Tolerance region
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