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Identifying “deterrable” offenders: Implications for research on deterrence 1  

Author: Greg Pogarsky a (Show Biography)
Affiliation:   a University at Albany,
DOI: 10.1080/07418820200095301
Publication Frequency: 4 issues per year
Published in: journal Justice Quarterly, Volume 19, Issue 3 September 2002 , pages 431 - 452
Formats available: PDF (English)
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Abstract

This article outlines a theoretical framework that distinguishes three forms of responsiveness to legal sanction threats: acute conformist, deterrable, and incorrigible. It then investigates the implications of the framework with data from a perceptual deterrence survey administered to 412 university students. The findings suggest the preeminent empirical regularity in deterrence research—that the deterrent effect of the certainty of punishment far exceeds that of the severity of punishment—may be overstated. An analysis confined to deterrable offenders suggests that the severity effect (relative to the certainty effect) may exceed that reported in extant research.
1 This work was supported by the National Consortium on Violence Research (NCOVR) and the National Science Foundation (SES-9911370). I thank Linda Babcock, Shawn Bushway, Daniel Nagin, Raymond Paternoster, Alex Piquero, and Terry Thornberry for their valuable comments on previous versions of this manuscript.
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