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Empirical estimation of tail dependence using copulas: application to Asian markets 

Authors: Cyril Caillault ab; Dominique Gueacutegan a
Affiliations:   a Ecole Normale Supeacuterieure, 94230 Cachan, France
b Dexia Creacutedit Local, 75901 Paris cedex 15, France
DOI: 10.1080/14697680500147853
Publication Frequency: 8 issues per year
Published in: journal Quantitative Finance, Volume 5, Issue 5 October 2005 , pages 489 - 501
Number of References: 30
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

This paper introduces non-parametric estimators for upper and lower tail dependence whose confidence intervals are obtained with a bootstrap method. We call these estimators 'naiumlve estimators' as they represent a discretization of Joe's formulae linking copulas to tail dependence. We apply the methodology to an empirical data set composed of three composite indexes for the three Tigers (Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia). The extremes show a dependence structure which is symmetric for the Thai and Malaysian markets and asymmetric for the Thai and Indonesian markets and for the Malaysian and the Indonesian markets. Using these results we estimate the copula (which belongs to the Student or Archimedean copula families) for each pair of markets by two methods. Finally, we provide risk measurements using the best copula associated with each pair of markets.
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