ebooks logo journals logo reference works logo abstract databases logo
bullet  SIGN IN Register | Why Register? | Got a Voucher? alerts   marked lists   shopping cart 

informaworld

HOME   |   SEARCH   |   BROWSE
    Issues List       Latest Issue       Forthcoming Articles       Volume 6 Issue 4       Subscribe       Article       References       Related articles      
<< firstfirst   < prevprev   Table of contentstoc   next >next   last >>last
Publisher Logo Publication Cover
Search within this journal

Analysis of drawdowns and drawups in the US$ interest-rate market 

Authors: Riccardo Rebonato a; Valerio Gaspari b
Affiliations:   a Quantitative Research Team, The Royal Bank of Scotland, Oxford University (OCIAM) and Tanaka Business School, UK
b Market Risk Management, Deutsche Bank,
DOI: 10.1080/14697680600680555
Publication Frequency: 8 issues per year
Published in: journal Quantitative Finance, Volume 6, Issue 4 August 2006 , pages 297 - 326
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
Article Requests: Order Reprints : Request Permissions


Abstract

We investigate the statistical properties of drawdowns and drawups in interest rates (US$) using over 10 years' worth of daily data. We analyse the nature of the drawdowns in terms of length of runs, magnitude of the individual price moves and coincidence of their occurrence across the maturity spectrum. We document significant positive autocorrelation for several holding periods, pronounced term structure effects and an unexpectedly low degree of coincidence in the occurrence of drawdowns across the maturity spectrum (despite high correlation in daily moves). By drawing on previous work by Rebonato et al. (2005) we try to provide a coherent explanation for a complex set of empirical observations. An essential ingredient of this explanation appears to be the existence of at least two distinct types (normal and excited) of price dynamics, with different serial correlation properties. We concur with the results by Sornette and Johansen (Significance of log-periodic precursors to financial crashes. Quant. Finance, 2001, 1, 452-471) for different asset classes that very large drawdowns belong to the 'undemocratic' case, and may therefore result from an amplification mechanism.
view references (38)
Bookmark with:
  • CiteULike
  • Del.icio.us
  • BibSonomy
  • Connotea
  • More bookmarks
Privacy Policy | Terms & Conditions | Accessibility | RSS
FAQs in: English . Français . Español . 中文(简体和繁體)
© 2009 Informa plc