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Bootstrap-based evaluation of markov-switching time series models 

Author: Zacharias Psaradakis a
Affiliation:   a Department of Economics, Birkbeck College, University of London,
DOI: 10.1080/07474939808800416
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Econometric Reviews, Volume 17, Issue 3 1998 , pages 275 - 288
Formats available: PDF (English)
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Abstract

This paper explores the possibility of evaluating the adequacy of Markov-switching time series models by comparing selected functionals (such as the spectral density function and moving empirical moments) obtained from the data with those of the fitted model using a bootstrap algorithm. The proposed model checking procedure is easy to implement and flexible enough to be adapted to a wide variety of models with parameters subject to Markov regime-switching. Examples with real and artificial data illustrate the potential of the methodology.
Keywords: Markov Chain; Moving Estimates; Parametric Bootstrap; Regime Switching; Spectral Density Function; JEL Classification: C15: C22: C52
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