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Efficiency of convex combinations of pickands estimator of the extreme value index 

Author: Michael Falk a
Affiliation:   a Mathematisch-Geographische Fakultaumlt, Katholische Universitat Eichstaumltt, Eichstaumltt, Germany
DOI: 10.1080/10485259408832606
Publication Frequency: 8 issues per year
Published in: journal Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Volume 4, Issue 2 1994 , pages 133 - 147
Formats available: PDF (English)
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Abstract

Consider a distribution function F in the domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution Gβ with unknown extreme value index ./GNST_A_8832606_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832606_O_ILM0001.gif . An appealing nonparametric estimate of β is the Pickands estimator ./GNST_A_8832606_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832606_O_ILM0002.gif , which is based on the 4m largest observations in a sample of size n generated independently according to F. If F satisfies a von Mises condition with rapidly decreasing remainder term, we can establish asymptotic normality of convex combinations ./GNST_A_8832606_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832606_O_ILM0003.gif  of Pickands estimate. With the asymptotically optimal p = popt∈[0,1] minimizing the limiting variance of ./GNST_A_8832606_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832606_O_ILM0004.gif  Pickands estimator ./GNST_A_8832606_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832606_O_ILM0005.gif  is then clearly outperformed by the convex combination ./GNST_A_8832606_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832606_O_ILM0006.gif . As popt depends on β, a data-driven version ./GNST_A_8832606_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832606_O_ILM0007.gif  is plugged into ./GNST_A_8832606_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832606_O_ILM0008.gif , with the resulting estimate being asymptotically as good as ./GNST_A_8832606_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832606_O_ILM0009.gif . Simulations demonstrate the superiority of the convex combination ./GNST_A_8832606_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832606_O_ILM0010.gif  over the Pickands estimate already for moderate sample sizes n.
Keywords: Extreme value distribution; extreme value index; generalized Pareto distribution; von Mises condition; Pickands estimator; asymptotic relative efficiency
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