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Nonparametric statistics for testing of linearity and serial independence 

Authors: Vidar Hjellvik a; Dag Tjoslashstheim a
Affiliation:   a Department of Mathematics, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
DOI: 10.1080/10485259608832673
Publication Frequency: 8 issues per year
Published in: journal Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Volume 6, Issue 2 & 3 1996 , pages 223 - 251
Formats available: PDF (English)
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Abstract

For a series of independent identically distributed random variables lcubXtrcub the conditional mean ./GNST_A_8832673_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832673_O_ILM0001.gif  and the conditional variance ./GNST_A_8832673_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832673_O_ILM0002.gif  are given by Mt(x)=E(Xt) and Vk(x) = var(Xt). respectively This is used to construct a test of serial independence for a time series via a functional involving nonparametric estimates of Mk(x) and Vk(x). The resulting test is compared to a number of existing tests of serial independence, including the so-called BDS test, A linearity test can similarly be obtained by comparing Mk(x) and Vk, e(x) to ρkx and ./GNST_A_8832673_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832673_O_ILM0003.gif . where ρk = corr (XtXt-k), and where Vk.e(x) and ./GNST_A_8832673_O_XML_IMAGES/GNST_A_8832673_O_ILM0004.gif  are the conditional variance and the variance for the residual process from a linear fit. Resampling is essential to obtain an approximately correct size of the test, as asymptotic theory performs poorly. The tests are illustrated in a number of simulation experiments and on two real data examples.
Keywords: conditional mean; linearity; serial independence; kernel method
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