Nonparametric regression for nonstationary processes
Author:
Carlo Grillenzoni a
| Affiliation: | a IUAV, Venezia, Italy |
DOI:
10.1080/10485250008832808
Publication Frequency:
8 issues per year
Subjects:
Mathematical Economics;
Mathematical Finance;
Medical Statistics;
Statistical Theory & Methods;
Statistics;
Statistics for the Biological Sciences;
Stochastic Models & Processes;
Formats available:
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(English)
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Abstract
This paper develops recursive kernel estimators for the probability density and the regression function of nonlinear and nonstationary time series. The resulting method is characterized by two smoothing coefficients (the bandwidth and the discounting rate of observations) that may be selected with a prediction error criterion. Statistical properties are investigated under a null hypothesis of stationarity and asymptotic elimination of the discounting. Simulation experiments on complex processes show the ability of the method in estimating time-varying nonlinear regression functions.
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| Keywords: Nonlinear and nonstationary processes; prediction error criterion; recursive kernel estimators; time-varying regression functions |
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