Bayessche seh
tzungen und vorhersagen bei stochastischen linearen bliferenzengleichiingssystemen
Author:
Joachim Bellach a
| Affiliation: | a Sektion Mathematik, Humboldt Universit t Berlin, |
DOI:
10.1080/02331887408801189
Publication Frequency:
6 issues per year
Subjects:
Mathematical Statistics;
Statistical Theory & Methods;
Statistics;
Statistics for the Biological Sciences;
Stochastic Models & Processes;
Formats available:
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(English)
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Abstract
For a system of stochastic linear differnce equations
where the random disturbances U is a timely non-independent GAUssian process we derive BAYESian estimators for A, B and the unknown parameters the convariance function of Ut and conditions for the consistance this estimators. Further we derive BAYEsian predictors of X(T + 1) by the observation of and the recursive form the BAYEsian estimators for time independent random disturbances Ut. For the derivation of the BAYEsian estimators and predictors conjugate prior distributions are used.
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