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Decision schemes of parameter identification im time series analysis *  

Authors: E. Pleszcynacuteska a;  A. Kowalski a; A. Matuszewski a
Affiliation:   a Institute of Computer Science, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warszawa
DOI: 10.1080/02331887808801409
Publication Frequency: 6 issues per year
Published in: journal Statistics, Volume 9, Issue 1 1978 , pages 73 - 83
Formats available: PDF (English)
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Abstract

The starting point is the discussion of the interconnections between such notions as adaptive methods,selector statistics,model choice,model verification,parameter identification and parameter estimation.Next, the characterization of time series models introducing a modelled process ξ by means of an auxiliary process η is given in terms of derived and primitive models, and this is used to present some typical schemes of evolution of statistics,namely that of solving difficult problems by means of easy standard ones.It is shown how parameter identification is being used in the context.Finally, some characteristic approaches to parameter identification are mentioned,including methods based on residuals, Akaike's information criterion,Box-Jenkins diagnostic checking and Couts-Crether-Nerlove graphical methods.
* 2Paper given at the 3rd international Summer School on Problems of Model choice and Parameter Estimation in Regression Analysis,Muumllhausen(G.D.R),May 1977
Keywords: Parameter identification; estimation; time series; model choice; adaptive methods; selector statistics; derived model; primitive model; identifiability; residuals
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