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Volatility transmission patterns and terrorist attacks 

Authors: Helena Chuliaacute a;  Francisco Climent b;  Pilar Soriano b; Hipogravelit Torroacute b
Affiliations:   a Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Oberta de Catalunya, 08035 Barcelona, Spain
b Departament d'Economia Financera i Actuarial, Universitat de Valegravencia, 46022 Valegravencia, Spain
DOI: 10.1080/14697680802637882
Publication Frequency: 10 issues per year
Published in: journal Quantitative Finance, Volume 9, Issue 5 August 2009 , pages 607 - 619
First Published: August 2009
Formats available: HTML (English) : PDF (English)
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Abstract

The objective of this study is to analyse volatility transmission between the US and Eurozone stock markets considering the financial market responses to the September 11, March 11 and July 7 terrorist attacks. In order to do this, we use a multivariate GARCH model and take into account the asymmetric volatility phenomenon, the non-synchronous trading problem and the turmoil periods themselves. Moreover, a graphical analysis of the Asymmetric Volatility Impulse-Response Functions (AVIRF) is introduced, which takes into consideration the financial market responses to the terrorist attacks. Results suggest that there is bidirectional and asymmetric volatility transmission and show the different impacts that terrorist attacks had on both markets.
Keywords: Volatility modelling; International finance; International asset pricing; GARCH models; Multivariate volatility; Risk management
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